With UC Davis' series loss to UC Irvine, the Aggies' postseason hopes are in serious danger. UCD has lost Big West series to Cal State Fullerton, UC Irvine, UC Riverside and Cal Poly while sweeping Pacific and taking two of three from UC Santa Barbara and Long Beach State. A series win (maybe a sweep) over Cal State Northridge is a must.
Santa Barbara is making a case it deserves the Big West's final at-large berth after sweeping Riverside over the weekend. Another factor possibly working against the Aggies: They're a first-year, Division I school. If it's even close with Santa Barbara, don't be surprised to see the committee give the Gauchos the nod.
Here is how Baseball America's Aaron Fitt thinks it might go down for the Aggies and Gauchos:
"As I wrote in Three Strikes today over on the College Blog, I think the Gauchos will get in if they take two of three from Irvine, and they might still have a chance if they can win just one game from the Anteaters. Davis' chances are sagging, but if the Aggies can sweep Northridge next weekend (which is very much within the realm of possibility) and Irvine wins that series at home against UCSB, Davis and Santa Barbara will have identical 14-10 records in conference play. Davis has the more impressive resume, thanks to series wins against Long Beach State, UCSB and Santa Clara, so you'd have to give UCD the upper hand in that scenario. Of course, if neither team finishes strong, the Big West will be a three-bid league."
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